Donald Trump (Credit: Deanne Morris)
The 2016 Presidential election primary in New Hampshire shook up the Presidential race.
Here are the 7 things you should know:
1. Trump exceeded expectations.
Trump was predicted to be in trouble. NO WAY:
Trump took in 35% of the vote, more than the next three candidates combined.
This win gets him out of the Iowa “loser” image to a big winner.
And it set him up for another win in the next primary state, South Carolina, on February 20th.
2. Hillary Clinton was crushed by a 74 year old socialist. Unbelievable.
The embarrassing final tally:
Hillary lost almost every group, including women under 65.
She was up over Sanders by 44pts a year ago. And now … what a crash.
Why? Almost everyone voted for Sanders because they didn’t trust Hillary.
3. Winners, Losers, and Disappointments
- Trump: ran away with the vote
- Kasich: disliked by conservatives, libertarians, and Evangelical Christians, but comes in #2
- Cruz: coming in 3rd place is never good, but he was supposed to be wiped out, and spent less than $1 million, besting the losers …
- Christie: liberal policies, tough talk got him nowhere
- Fiorina: couldn’t get momentum
- Carson: unable to restore his standing
- The Establishment Talking Heads/Liberal Media: thought Trump would fail
- Rubio: bad debate led to bad voter results. 89% of voters sad debate influenced their final decision.
- Jeb!: wanted #2 spot, ended up with #4 (and spent twenty times what Cruz had spent)
Carly Fiorina: a conservative, an evangelical, and a powerful spokesperson for freedom and prosperity dropped out of the race after two dismal seventh place finishes.
And Chris Christie.
After spending $18 million in New Hampshire and practically living in the Granite State for 6 months, Chris Christie is likely to drop out of the race.
On our Presidential Central page, we have an article about why Christians, libertarians, conservatives, free market advocates, gun rights supporters, pro-life supporters, and more were consistently opposed to Christie … the worst choice next to Hillary and Bernie. You can see it here.
5. The Evangelical vote was split!
Historically, Evangelical Christians do not register (about 50% in most churches) or don’t vote (over 50% of registered Evangelicals did not vote in the 2012 Presidential Election)
Ted Cruz is out to change that. He was successful in Iowa, winning the #1 spot because of his purpose-driven campaign to motivate the church (see this article for details).
He was successful in Iowa with 64% of the vote from Evangelicals, up 79% from 2012. That’s a significant number to turn a win. The majority of Evangelical votes for Cruz … and Trump, Rubio, and Carson picked about third from the rest.
But New Hampshire is the least religious state in the nation, just behind Vermont.
25% of the New Hampshire voters were Evangelical vs. 64% in Iowa and 60% in the upcoming South Carolina election.
So, the Evangelical vote was split, unlike Iowa:
Cruz … 24%
Trump … 23%
Rubio … 14%
Jeb … 12%
Kasich … 10%
Carson … 7%
Fiorina … 5%
Christie … 4%
6. Next—South Carolina
The Republican South Carolina Primary is February 20th. The Democratic Primary is February 27th
Trump is establishing a huge media campaign combined with a paid ground game.
Cruz plans to combine his advanced microtargeting with a powerful ground game, and the major pastoral/church Evangelical outreach.
60% of South Carolina voters are Evangelicals. He has 170 pastors, 8,500 volunteers and the best high tech team among all the candidates, except Hillary.
7. What You Can Do:
Donald Trump Mural (Credit: Thierry Ehrmann)
Take our Presidential Poll: Click here.
Visit Presidential Central to learn about the remaining Presidential candidates. Click here.
Pass this information on to friends, family, fellow church goers, and coworkers.
Share with me your thoughts: Email me at [email protected]
In Case You Missed them: here are the finally tallies for the New Hampshire Presidential primary:
Here are the results from the Democratic Primary: